With the sound of a gunshot, the already chaotic scene became more and more out of control.
"The Russians killed!"
I don't know who shouted and directly detonated the audience. The already angry protesters were completely ignited.
The reason why activism is named "radical" is that the biggest feature is that when making decisions, it is often just because of a hot head and never weighs the pros and cons.
No matter where it is, everyone's head is full of "kill all the Russians and pay for the bloody battle!"
Not only did he think about it, but he actually took action. The protesters tore down gates and walls and charged inside the embassy.
In the face of the swarming crowd, the Russian guards fought bravely, but their fists were no match for four, even if they had guns.
After all, this is the embassy district. Security issues are mainly the responsibility of the Japanese government, and the weapons of the guards are limited to guarding against the younger generation, and there is no heavy firepower at all.
Everyone rushed in, and it was self-evident what would happen next. Anyway, the embassies of various countries who were watching the lively nearby had already picked up their cameras and took pictures of the chaotic scene.
The only regret is that the distance is too far, and there is no picture quality at all. Through the photos, you can only see the crowd attacking the Russian embassy.
The policeman responsible for maintaining law and order not far away was already terrified at the moment. Making trouble outside the embassy and breaking in are two completely different concepts.
From the level of chaos on the scene, it can be seen that the group of people who broke in are not rational masters. If they do something irrational, the consequences are simply unimaginable.
"Sheriff, what should we do now?"
Glancing at his subordinate who was about to urinate, the middle-aged sheriff said indifferently, "What should I do
Remember, Muraki. A mob wanted to storm the British embassy just now, and we have been intercepting it all the time. We didn't see anything about the situation at the Russian embassy. "
After speaking, the middle-aged man had already raised his fists and punched and kicked his subordinates, as if simulating the scene after the mob attack.
They are far from alone in making similar decisions. In order not to take the blame, few police officers on duty nearby are in good condition.
There is no way, the scene has gotten out of control, and it is simply not something that these little pawns can stop. I don't know if I can control the situation if I mix it in now.
Those with rich social experience know that they should stay safe first. As for other issues, that is the above matter. Anyway, allowing the parade to be close to the Russian embassy area is also an order from the superior.
When such a big thing happens, someone has to come out and cut the belly, and this "pot" is not something that ordinary people can carry.
As a pawn, you have to dodge when you should. As long as they are not directly involved, the bigwigs will not care about them.
…
In the government office building, Prime Minister Shigenobu Okuma, who had just had afternoon tea, was staring at a pile of documents in a daze, and suddenly received the terrible news of "the mob attacked the Russian embassy district".
"Is the scene under control?"
"Are there any casualties in the Russian embassy?"
…
The protests turned into protests, and the impact on the embassy area was over. Ordinary people do not know the seriousness of the matter, but Okuma Shigenobu is still clear.
Since we want to "leave Asia and join Europe", it is natural to understand the rules of the European political game, such as the generally recognized "international law".
The impact on the Russian embassy area seems to be just a contradiction between Japan and Russia on the surface, but it is not.
If one is not handled well, the Japanese government will face the censure of the entire international community. Not to mention international sanctions, just condemnation is enough for the Japanese government to drink a pot.
In this context, whether there are casualties in the Russian embassy becomes particularly important.
If it's just property casualties, it's a big deal to lose a lot of money; if people are hurt, the Russians will never give up on such a good opportunity.
You must know that the current Russian Empire is not alone. Not only is there the Russian-Austrian Alliance, but it is also one of the main members of the European Union.
The reasons are all delivered to the door, and the tsarist government has no reason not to involve allies. International politics does not respect individual heroism.
The staff replied in a panic: "The scene is completely out of control. The garrison has asked the military for help. It is not known whether there are any casualties in the Russian embassy."
Hearing this result, Shigenobu Okuma took his place. The scene was so out of control that the military was required to intervene. Who would dare to believe any casualties
The question now is not how many people died, but how many people are still alive in the Russian embassy. In short, a diplomatic disaster is coming.
…
The emergence of the telegraph has shortened the distance between human beings. The accident happened in Japan during the day, and Vienna received the news at night.
As for blocking messages, just think about it. You must know that the telegraph company of this year is controlled by the foreign powers, and there is no need to buy the account of the Japanese government.
Besides, it is useless to cut off the telegram contact. The incident happened in the embassy area, and the embassies of various countries are not far away. There are so many witnesses, and it is impossible to keep secrets.
You can't kill someone, can you
If something happened to the staff of the embassies of various countries, the treatment enjoyed by the Japanese government would definitely not be worse than the next-door neighbor Xin Chou Nian.
Except that the specific casualties of the Russian embassy are unclear, other contents are accompanied by telegrams, which are spread all over the world.
Looking at the telegram in his hand, Franz fell into deep thought. He had heard of the Russo-Japanese War, but he had never heard of the Japanese people attacking the embassy.
Whether history has changed, or someone deliberately covered up the truth, or because the incident was too small to cause waves.
Franz has passed the age of curiosity and has no interest in deciphering the Japanese-Russian conflict in depth.
"Has the Japanese main war faction been suppressed badly recently?"
From a distance of a few hundred meters, it is good to be able to roughly see the scene. The shooting incident hidden in the dark is naturally unknown.
I don't know if someone made troubles, and the impact on the Russian embassy area was directly defined as "the mob attacked the Russian embassy area".
In the pure Japanese-Russian conflict, there is no one else who can do such a stupid thing except the war lunatics of the Japanese military.
According to Franz's personal experience, when such extreme events generally occur, the Japanese army's main war faction was suppressed, and the extreme method adopted in order to turn the tables.
Similar incidents have also happened in the original time and space. For example: a year when the government wanted to cut military spending, the unwilling Japanese military directly launched a coup d'etat...
Frederick: "Yes, the Japanese government has been reducing the military budget in recent years. The military budget accounted for 84.7% of fiscal revenue from its peak, and it has been compressed to 46.2% now.
It is said that the Japanese government is also preparing to continue to compress military expenditures, preparing to control military expenditures at about 35% of fiscal revenue.
However, what does this have to do with the mob storming the Russian embassy district? You can't just because you are dissatisfied with the reduction in the proportion of the military budget..."
The proportion of military expenditure in fiscal revenue remains high, which is a characteristic of the times. The more economically backward a country is, the higher the proportion of military expenditure in fiscal expenditure.
Countries that can control their military budgets within 40% are basically countries that have started the process of industrialization; countries that can control their military budgets within 25% can be considered developed countries.
From the military budget ratio, it can also be seen that Japan's economic development in recent years has been good, otherwise the military budget ratio will not go down at all.
After all, raising an army is very expensive. With the development of military technology, the daily maintenance cost of the military has been on the rise.
Under the condition that the military establishment remains unchanged, the annual military expenditure will only increase, not decrease. To compress the proportion in the fiscal budget, only the growth rate of fiscal revenue exceeds the growth rate of military maintenance costs.
In the age of the gold standard, seigniorage revenue was far less perverted than later generations, and it was impossible to become the backbone of fiscal revenue at all. The increase in government revenue is mainly due to the increase in tax revenue brought about by the dividends of economic development.
"It can't happen in other countries, but it's impossible to say in Japan. For this country, we can't take common sense.
The traditional thought of Bushido, coupled with the ideology of military terrorism, the Japanese military has embarked on a radical road of no return from the very beginning.
Of course, this may be one of the many factors that led to the incident against the Russian embassy. The direct fuse is most likely the Far East conflict not long ago.
In the face of the Russian Empire, the Japanese government did not have enough confidence. For the sake of domestic development, the Japanese government can make concessions, which does not mean that civil radical groups will also take into account the overall situation.
In this world, there are too many people who see problems and do things without thinking. If it is mixed with nationalism and extremism, it will be even crazier.
As long as someone provokes it, there is nothing they dare not do. Not to mention the attack on the Russian embassy, even if all the staff of the Russian embassy were massacred, it is not impossible. "
With the original time and space as a reference, what Franz thinks is normal, for Frederick, is a comprehensive impact on the three views.
"Shocking the embassy area" is already appalling enough. If the embassy staff is massacred again, then don't say anything and just start the war.
No major country can accept this kind of provocation, let alone the grumpy Russians.
In the end, he was still used to seeing strong winds and waves. Apart from his initial disbelief, Frederick quickly recovered and said slowly:
"If the Russian embassy staff are really killed, then the Russo-Japanese war cannot be avoided. But now that the Siberian Railway has not been opened to traffic, the Russians should not start immediately.
Judging from the progress of the Trans-Siberian Railway, the main line is expected to open to traffic next year, and the branch line will take about three to five years.
If nothing else, the Russo-Japanese War should break out in the next five to ten years. So can we…”
Before Frederick could finish speaking, Franz interrupted: "This is only the best time to start the war from the Russian side, but the outbreak of the war was never decided unilaterally.
If you were Emperor Meiji, would you wait until the Russians were ready to fight before passively fighting? "
There is no way, this is a cognitive misunderstanding. The strength gap between Japan and Russia is very large. If it is not limited by traffic, three or five Japan combined will not be enough for the Russians to fight.
If you take into account the discrimination against people of color, the assessment of the strength of both parties is even greater.
The Philippine war is a benchmark. The Spanish labor expedition can fight half a catty with Japan. If it were not for the distance to limit the power delivery, Japan would have been defeated long ago.
As for Spain's use of French mercenaries, it was directly ignored by everyone. Europe has a tradition of using mercenaries, and being able to recruit mercenaries to fight is also a manifestation of strength.
In the eyes of many people, the disparity in strength is too great, and the weak take the initiative to provoke war, that is, they are courting death.
On the contrary, a passive challenge can also win international sympathy and invite major powers to intervene in mediation. The same is defeated, but the treatment is completely different.
If the former loses, the country may be destroyed; the latter, although defeated, still has a chance to survive.
After all, the international community will not watch the Russians continue to expand, and intervention is inevitable.
…
Just as Franz and his son were considering how to profit from the Russo-Japanese War, the tsarist government also received bad news from the Far East.
It's just that the information they received was not from their own embassy, but forwarded by the Vienna government.
Allies, it's still a little bit of help.
If it hadn't been confirmed again and again, the embassy in Tokyo would have lost contact, and Nicholas II thought it was April Fool's Day today.
A small Japan dares to provoke the great Russian Empire again and again, which is obviously a disadvantage for bullying them again.
After receiving the news, Nicholas II held a high-level meeting of the government overnight. If this kind of thing happened, if you don't go back in revenge, how can the Russian Empire get mixed up in the world
Prime Minister Sergei Witte: "Your Majesty, the Japanese provocation must be fought back hard and let them know that the Russian Empire is not something they can provoke.
It's just that the Trans-Siberian Railway has not yet opened to traffic, and our troops in the Far East are limited, so it is difficult to hit Japan hard.
It is better to wait a little longer than to take revenge without pain. When we're ready, kill Japan directly to relieve the hatred in our hearts. "
Count Sergei Witte was a rational prime minister, and he was filled with righteous indignation.
learn from past experience. In recent years, the Russian Empire has not suffered less from the loss of "invigorating teachers with anger", and now it must learn a lesson.
Deep down in his heart, Sergey Witte has made up his mind that no matter how provocative the Japanese are, they must hold back until the Trans-Siberian Railway is fully opened to traffic.
It's not just Sergey Witte who is rational. The current top executives of the tsarist government are basically the team left behind by Alexander III, all rationalists.
The head of the Orthodox Church Administration, Pobedonoschav, said: "The prime minister is right, it is really not suitable for military action at the moment.
For clowns like Japan, we either don't take action, or we must beat them to death with a stick to truly shock people.
Considering that Japan is an island country, if you want to destroy them, with the current strength of the Imperial Navy, it is obviously not enough.
On this issue, we can follow the example of the Austrians, first formulate a comprehensive 20-year development plan, and then eliminate the Japanese monkeys when we are fully prepared. "
It can be seen that Po Donoschaev has also won the essence of the "gou" way, and it is the twenty-year plan to destroy the sun.
With the strong family background of the Russian Empire, if you really immerse yourself in planting for 20 years, then there is no need to say that Japan must be completely cold.
Not to mention Japan, even the current British Empire may not be able to suppress the industrialized Russian Empire.