Berlin
The arrival of Palmerston did not bring good news to Frederick William IV. The British also stood on their opposite sides this time.
"Your Majesty, the current situation is very unfavorable for us. All European countries stand against us. Austria, the only one among the powers that supports us, is only due to public opinion, and they will not provide us with any substantive help." Joseph- Prime Minister von Radowitz frowned and said
Before the end of the Crimean War, no country in the whole of Europe had the courage to fight against Russia on land, and Prussia was no exception.
It is the greatest misfortune of the Kingdom of Prussia to meet such a neighbor. Since we cannot win, we should be friends. The relationship between Prussia and Russia has always been the most important part of Prussian diplomacy.
"Is the bourgeois government still unwilling to make concessions?" Frederick William IV asked concernedly
Radowitz thought for a while and said, "Yes, Your Majesty. Now the morale of the people is high. After Austria voiced support for us, the German states are cheering for us, and they are trying to use public opinion to force us to break out into war with Russia.
The bourgeois government believes that the morale of the people cannot be beaten now. They want to wait for Austria to deal with internal conflicts and join us to resist the pressure from Russia. "
Yes, the Russian military police in Europe is indeed terrible, not comparable to Prussia. However, after Phu and Austria join forces, this situation will be reversed, and Russia has not been able to fight one against two.
But the question is, why should Austria stand against the Russians in order to help Prussia expand its territory? Where are their interests
Frederick William IV thought for a while and said: "The people who informed us take action to cool down domestic public opinion, and told my Arnime to stop first, and now is not the time to challenge the Russians."
No one would have imagined that the leader of the liberals was actually a man of the king, and it is no wonder that after the outbreak of the Great Revolution, Prussia was able to reach an internal compromise so quickly.
But those who are familiar with history know that this Pudan war was just a war provoked by Prussia to divert domestic conflicts.
Through the foreign war, the people's attention was successfully diverted, creating favorable conditions for the counter-revolutionary group to counterattack.
If there is no one to guide, how can the bourgeois government provoke the Prussian conflict before the power status has been consolidated
Whether it is planning the Polish independence movement or launching the Pudan War, they are all challenging the bottom line of the Russians.
In order to prevent the situation from getting out of control, Frederick William IV stopped several times in the middle to ease the relationship. To a certain extent, this was also a test of the Russians by the Prussians.
In August 1848, under international pressure, the Kingdom of Prussia made concessions to the Russians. The Pudan War entered the intermission stage, and the two countries signed the "Malmo Armistice Agreement".
…
Vienna
After receiving the "Malmo Armistice Agreement", the Austrian government believed that the Prussian War was over. The Prussian compromise made the nationalists in the German region very dissatisfied, and the Austrian plan was successful.
Only Franz knew that things were not so simple. Through this temptation, the Prussians have already got the answers they want, and the Russians will not go to war with them easily.
The main reason is that the tsarist government is relatively poor, and the Kingdom of Denmark is also unable to afford the war expenses. Once a war with the Kingdom of Prussia breaks out, many of the Russian plans must be stranded.
"This armistice came too quickly, and the above clauses were too inclined towards the Danes, which is very wrong. On the battlefield, Prussia has the upper hand, and there is no reason to suffer from this loss.
Under normal circumstances, as long as the Prussian government persists a little, the Danes will give in, and maybe they can take advantage of it. How could they suffer from this loss? "
Franz said.
Prussia is also a great power in Europe. Although it is only the bottom power, it is also a member of the great power club. How could it suffer such an obvious loss
No matter how great the diplomatic pressure of various countries is, and everyone has not interfered with force, why should they make such big concessions
Metternich seemed to have thought of something, but he was not sure, so he asked: "Your Highness, do you mean that the Prussians have a conspiracy?"
"Yes!"
"As the two largest states in the German region, we have always wanted to unify the German region, don't the Prussians want to unify the German region
After a series of failures, we found that in the case of Austria, countries would not allow us to unify the German region, and finally gave up helplessly.
But once we have the opportunity to unify the German region, we will not give up either.
Now the Prussians have set off nationalism, advocated the idea of grand unification, and proposed a petty German plan. What are these for
There is no doubt that the Prussians, knowing that they did not have the strength to unify the German regions, took the next step and prepared to kick us out and build a small German Empire.
Why did Frederick-Wilhelm IV refuse to acknowledge the Frankfurt Congress, which was clearly leaning towards Prussia
Is it really because the crown is not orthodox enough? In my opinion, he doesn't dare. Once they supported the Frankfurt Conference, they stood on the opposite side of the German state.
The strength of the Kingdom of Prussia is limited, and they cannot disperse their power. Now they have compromised in the war on the Danish issue, and most of them want to do things in the German region.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs must keep in touch with the governments of various countries at any time, so as not to let the Prussians take advantage of the loopholes, we can send troops to help them stabilize the situation when necessary. "
Franz's methodical analysis shows that the advantage of foresight is reflected.
Historically, the Prussians constantly colluded with the states in the German region and established the "Three Kings Alliance" in an attempt to replace the German Confederation controlled by Austria and took the first step towards unifying the German region.
Although it was later slapped back by Austria and disbanded the Three Kings Alliance, the status of the Kingdom of Prussia in the German region has been greatly improved.
They even took advantage of this opportunity to deliberately show weakness, constantly promoting the humiliation of the "Olmuz Agreement" to Prussia, and diluting the vigilance of the powers towards them.
These are Franz's personal guesses, and he is very impressed that the Kingdom of Prussia can unify the German region in the slit.
It's just that his identity has determined his position, and he is not a loyal fan - Peter III, so it is impossible to sit on his ass.
We can only speculate on the actions of the Prussians with the greatest malice, so as to avoid leaving opportunities for the enemy.
Austria is ready, it is not so easy for the Prussians to pull allies. In terms of influence in the German region, Prussia has no way to compare with Austria.
If this era depends on the referendum to decide the fate, Franz can be prepared to be crowned the German emperor, and the Habsburg family has an absolute advantage.
"His Royal Highness, the situation in many states in Germany is unstable now. If the Prussians want to intervene, they will most likely win over some states to form an alliance with them on the condition of helping them stabilize the situation.
Judging from their strength, most of the Prussians will win over the North German state first, and then infiltrate the South German state.
As for the unification of the German region, this is mostly just a pretense. The unification of the North German region is the limit of the tolerance of each country to the Kingdom of Prussia. "Metternich analyzed diplomatically.
Judging from the current international situation, this is indeed the case, but the future is uncertain. Historically, the Kingdom of Prussia took advantage of the contradictions between the powers to defeat the enemies one by one and unified the German regions except Austria.
Because of geopolitical, religious, and economic relations, Austria has the greatest influence in Germany, but the bourgeoisie of the North German states generally favors the Kingdom of Prussia, so that Prussia has a mass base to unify the North German region.
But now Austria cannot tolerate Prussia's unification of North Germany so early, which means that the strength of the two sides will be drawn closer.
Franz had not yet completed domestic reforms, and the rise of a powerful Prussian kingdom would threaten Austrian interests.
"The Ministry of Foreign Affairs is trying to disrupt the Prussian plans, and also to strengthen relations with the South German state. The government is preparing to negotiate with the customs union, and Austria will also join.
If the Prussians obstructed, they would win over the southern German states to reorganize the customs union. If necessary, we can split the German Confederation! ' said Franz seriously.
In the North German region, Austria only needs to delay the reunification process of the Kingdom of Prussia, and if necessary, it can also make an exchange of interests. In South Germany, Franz will not let go easily no matter what.
Even if these countries cannot be annexed, alliances must be established and infiltrated through politics, economy, and culture.
It is a good choice to further deepen the existing alliance relationship. When necessary, everyone can cooperate to establish a loose federal empire.
For example, following the example of the former Holy Roman Empire, as long as it is unified in name, it will gradually realize the merger in the future depending on the influence of economy and culture.
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