Survivorship Bias

Chapter 92: Three prisoners

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Only five chances left.

Hearing the sound of his companion being tortured, An Wujiu couldn't keep his absolute calm, he even prayed for a second that he could change to another state, at least he could use his indifference and malice, so that he could come up with a countermeasure The way to rescue them earlier.

But he knew it was impossible, this game was not his alone.

This is very similar to the Prisoner's Dilemma ①, in which everyone cannot get information from others, and cannot come up with a so-called plan and plan, and it is normal to make mistakes in decision-making.

He comforted himself, at least Yang Erci came out.

The opportunity for three people to choose the same must be used for the first time, otherwise, the later the time, the worse the mentality will be and the shorter the time, it will not be easy to choose the same result in the same round.

If you want to win the final victory, you must still have a chance.

"Okay, the selfless companions once again exchanged their sacrifices and dedication for time, and it really corresponds to the saying that you humans believe in, time is life."

Hearing the rabbit's voice, An Wujiu's eyes turned cold.

Humanity…

Was it not their kind that was one of the backstages

"Let me see how much time you got this round." The rabbit paused, "Oh! 44 seconds! What a pretty good number."

"For the third answer, please tell me which choice you will make."

An Wujiu looked at the box in front of him coldly, the exposed wire seemed to be connected to the metal wall, and perhaps connected to more things he didn't know.

The black and white button on it seemed to be distorted, turning into two bottomless holes, sucking in all the screaming, crying and roaring in his ears, like a vortex, without end.

The last round was three [knockouts] because they all thought of the same level.

After experiencing a full [knockout], Shen Ti and Yang Erci must be worried, and they will tend to choose No psychologically, which is similar to punishment and reward. Children who have been knocked out once will not go the same way.

But none of them are simple-minded people, and they will definitely have doubts about this choice, especially Yang Erci. It has been repeated twice, and this time she must not want to waste the opportunity to unlock it on herself again.

When it comes to wavering hearts, she is the most important. She must have imagined that everyone would tend to choose No in this round, and Yang Erci was most likely to choose Yes compared to the others.

But for An Wujiu, this time he had to choose No anyway.

He can't think too much, otherwise everyone's thoughts will be too consistent, and the result will be bad. This time, his thinking level will take the initiative to drop one level.

At least in this round, An Wujiu must let the option of [not knocking out] gain the upper hand, even if he can't go out in the end, it doesn't matter, he can't harm the people outside who sacrificed for them in vain.

Without much hesitation, An Wujiu pressed the white button and chose No.

He bet the possibility of success on the other two, especially Yang Erci.

Preferably NNY…

This time, An Wujiu's thinking time was actually very short, he pressed the white button with 30 seconds left in the countdown.

He believed in Yang Erci, and he also believed in Shen Ti.

At the end of the countdown, the voice of the rabbit appeared, as if deliberately provoking him, and said to him specifically: "You are so decisive, you are the first person to make a decision."

An Wujiu didn't want to pay attention to him, just thought it was ridiculous, "Is it so happy to see other people suffering?"

The rabbit stopped laughing, and then asked him in a natural and extremely innocent tone: "Don't you feel happy? What a precious sacrifice and nourishment this is."

An Wujiu thought it was absurd, but in the next second, he heard the rabbit say: "In the last game you watched the tiger fight across the mountain, three people died under your hands, didn't you also feel satisfied with the victory at that time?"

"Why do you know?" An Wugui was puzzled, isn't it the NPC of this game

"Of course I know, don't forget, I even know that you have a younger sister." The rabbit laughed ironically, "I'm afraid you have forgotten all the people you killed directly or indirectly in the altar."

"An Wujiu, I will remember it for you."

An Wujiu felt cold all over, as if he had been dismantled by this rabbit, like a dead body killed by him.

It is happily dissecting its booty, savoring the obvious victory.

Rabbit laughed, "An Wujiu, you have to work harder. I like your heinous appearance the most. You don't even let your friends go. Why are you so weak now? It's hard to do anything because of irrelevant people."

It gave An Wujiu a great deal of confusion and self-doubt, and then he pretended not to continue, "Ah, I seem to have said too much, for each of you."

"Let's announce the result, will it make you happier or sadder?"

New words appeared on the LED screen on the box in front of them, and the sound of joyful celebration surrounded the metal grave that almost buried the three of them alive.

[NNN]

"Are you happy! You are one step closer to the final decision of not being knocked out!"

[Player Yang Erci's door lock has been unlocked! ]

impossible.

An Wujiu couldn't believe the facts in front of him.

"What did they choose?"

"How could I tell you this?" Rabbit smiled sharply, like a soft knife, gouging out his heart, "You really deserve to be a spiritual leader, it seems that everyone has followed your decision .”

Why is no one shaken

An Wujiu thought carefully about his own calculations, could it be that he was too conceited, in fact he couldn't guess other people's thoughts at all.

He can't save anyone at all, he can't be the goddamn savior.

"Don't be discouraged, at least you don't have three Yess, what a congratulations."

Although this choice is not random and cannot be calculated strictly according to the probability of occurrence, it is really strange that the same result occurs three times in a row, and it still occurs when he makes a strategy change.

This is the game of the altar, and it is impossible to tamper with the player's result to cheat, and this method is quite clumsy, and the player whose result has been tampered with is very clear.

But if the players are really allowed to form a prisoner's dilemma, when the number of players increases to three, it is difficult to reach cooperation through repeated games.

But the three of them can't do it at all, there is an extra variable, it is no longer one-on-one, it can't be like the prisoner's dilemma of two people, it's either you or me, it's either cooperation or betrayal.

When there were three of them, they didn't even know what choices the other two made. Everyone felt that they might be that different choice, but no one could be sure that they must be.

There is no solution at all.

By luck? Or is there really a problem with the game side

It was almost the first time that An Wujiu had such doubts.

Once suspicion arises, it is difficult to suppress.

An Wujiu thought that even if a player knew that he had been tampered with, he obviously chose Y but was NNN, he would not be able to tell, and the other two would always be kept in the dark.

However, what's the point of the game if you break the rules so despicably

"Your companions are really strong. Three rounds have passed, and none of them pressed the stop button, and they are still desperately persevering for you."

Rabbit smiled, "Now... don't you really want to go out and press that button for them?"

Can no longer be affected by it.

What it wants most now is for everyone to lose their minds and fall into madness.

That's how you lose.

An Wujiu sneered, and looked up at those prying eyes that didn't exist.

This scene almost made the rabbit hiding behind him wonder if his personality had changed again.

But in fact, An Wujiu didn't, he just stood at the extreme bright spot and took a step towards the middle.

"If you want to see me collapse, I'm afraid it will be difficult for you to get what you want."

An Wujiu's expression was calm, and he accepted his own weirdness calmly, "I have a dark side and a light side, just like all human beings. My light side even has a calmness and composure that others don't have. You can't Break me easily."

"Your trick, I will definitely figure it out."

The rabbit was silent for a while, and in this rare silence, the cries were made even more piercing.

Its crazy voice suddenly became indifferent, completely cold, as if it was declaring an established fact, "You may not believe it, but one day, you will be smashed to pieces."

"It's your destiny, understand?"

Despite amnesia, An Wujiu doesn't believe in the so-called fate at all.

Maybe it was true, but before the crushing result came, he couldn't accept his fate.

The rabbit's ruthlessness didn't last long, and soon returned to that crazy tone, "Okay, we're starting the fourth round of selection."

"This time, the poor little ones gritted their teeth desperately and fought for you for a full 30 seconds."

"Think carefully about whether to knock out or not to knock out. I want to hear your answer within thirty seconds."

"Come on, little beauty."

The thirty-second countdown begins soon.

An Wujiu didn't think, didn't think at all, but put his hand into his pocket.

The rabbit who observed all this couldn't help squinting his eyes.

What the hell is this guy doing

He took out a fragment that shone with golden light, very random, and the key fragment said hoax, which was one of the rewards he got when he unlocked the water tank game.

He pinched a corner of the shard in his hand, flicked his thumb up casually, and the golden shard immediately flew into the air, crossed a radiant parabola, was captured by his palm, and finally pressed between the palm and the back of his hand, dust settled.

Choose Yes for the side with words, and No for the side without words.

He made up his mind, so he moved his palm away.

On the upward side is written hoax.

[scam]

Even though it wasn't the result he wanted, he took a gamble.

Hurry up, An Wujiu pressed the button and thought in his heart.

Maybe he is a gambler.

Knowing that the opportunity is precious, but the many doubts that keep popping up in his mind still force him to make this bet.

An Wujiu wants to use this willful randomness to gamble on the information he needs.

He wanted to verify his conjecture.

"I didn't expect you to be so sloppy." Rabbit saw him press the button and chose Yes, mocking and feeling unbelievable, "Are you giving up?"

An Wujiu raised his head and asked him for the first time, "What do you think?"

Rabbit sneered.

"I'm curious about a question, don't worry, it's not about what other people choose, I don't want to foul." An Wujiu asked another question, "Am I the first to make a choice? ?”

This time, the rabbit didn't react immediately, even a smile.

It was unnaturally quiet, eerily quiet.

"I'll take it as your acquiescence." An Wujiu put away the fragment with hoax written on it in his hand, lowered his head, and looked at his fingertips, there were many worn calluses on them.

"Did you know? When people are extremely excited, they will talk more, and then the information in the words will also increase." An Wujiu raised his eyebrows calmly, "I don't know if you are human or not. , but you made a mistake."

"I've been thinking about how to solve the predicament of the three of us, and ended up in a stalemate, almost unable to get out. But you set up this game, in fact, you want us to find out, but it's better to find out a little later. When it is irreparable, the game will achieve its best effect when it is completely crushed by hindsight regret."

"Otherwise you wouldn't be playing smart all the time, trying to vent a little bit to make the game more fun."

Rabbit smiled.

"You're crazy, know what you're talking about?"

The result came out, the sound of congratulations lingered all over, An Wujiu stared at the LED screen in front of him, without the slightest surprise on his face.

[YYY]

[Player Yang Erci's door lock has been unlocked! ]

An Wujiu ignored it, walked up to the box, pulled the exposed wire, and sure enough, as he expected, with a little pull, the other end fell out.

As if that wasn't thorough enough.

An Wugui opened the panel and found something in the collection threshold.

In the next second, a gun appeared in his hand. Without hesitation, he aimed sideways and smashed the selection box on the metal wall with one shot.

"You're really crazy!" Rabbit screamed.

Amidst the gunpowder smoke, An Wujiu stared at the completely destroyed display screen and calmed down.

"Stop acting."

"This box is simply a blindfold."

"It's intentionally made so simple that it will break if you pull it, but you are still arrogant and sure that no one will dare to do it lightly, let alone destroy the box."

An Wujiu put the muzzle of the gun on the ground, "Isn't your method of imposing psychological pressure on players with a lot of sarcasm and stimulation time-tested? Everyone before has been defeated by your brainwashing, right? They either collapsed or fell into the vortex of thinking, unable to escape from this unsolvable problem."

The corners of An Wujiu's mouth were straightened, looking very indifferent.

"Everyone ignores it. From the first round, what you said was [tell me your choice], every round is like this, and in this round, you even boldly said [I want to hear your choice] ]."

He directly exposed the truth.

"The appearance of this box is basically used to confuse the answerers. In fact, the answer must be dictated and must be spoken. Am I right?"

The rabbit listened quietly, and even smiled, "So you just randomly selected an answer, and asked me if you were the first one, just to know what this box is for?"

"That's right, I don't believe that the same decision will happen four times in a row. It's impossible. We're not fools."

"If it's not cheating, the problem is on the props. You are too arrogant, thinking that no one can see through this scam, so you directly stated the order of the answers on the third time, and told me clearly that I was the first, Also called me a spiritual leader and everyone followed my answers."

An Wujiu's eyes were clear and sharp, "The following here is the truth you blurted out."

"The first person to press the button in the box and make a choice will directly assimilate the choices of the three people. No matter how you think or make a decision, the final answer is the same."

In a way, Rabbit feels excited.

This An Wujiu, under its pervasive verbal violence and psychological oppression, can get clues from its cruel words, and even use bets to get the information he needs.

Extreme calm is also a kind of madness.

What a horrible guy.

"Wonderful, ordinary people can't make it here." Rabbit smiled emotionally, and even applauded, telling the fate of others very easily.

"Either they were crushed by the cries outside, or they were tortured to the point of madness by this information-tight choice."

"You, and the green-eyed man next door, are the only two players who can detect the clues halfway through the game."

"Should I say that you are a natural couple, or should I say that you are the same type of monsters who are extremely resistant to stress?"

Hearing Shen Ti's name, An Wujiu's Adam's apple rolled.

This is not beyond his expectation, Shen Ti is more unrestrained than himself, without any worries.

Fortunately, he found it too, so he knew he would too.

"But so what? You just lifted the blindfold."

"What's left now, isn't it the real game?"

"An Wujiu." Rabbit smiled strangely, "Is the information you gambled enough?"

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The author has something to say:

①The Prisoner’s Dilemma is a special kind of psychological game. I originally wanted to write about it, but it’s too late. I’ll just copy the introduction, but it’s not really a prisoner’s dilemma in the article, because there are three people, and the situation is completely different, almost It is difficult to achieve a three-person cooperation. They still know each other. If they don’t know each other, there is basically no solution.

The following is reproduced: "The story of the Prisoner's Dilemma tells the story of two suspects who committed a crime and were caught by the police and held in separate rooms for interrogation.

The police knew that the two were guilty, but lacked sufficient evidence. The police told everyone: If both denies, each will be sentenced to one year in prison; if both confess, each will be sentenced to eight years;

Therefore, every prisoner faces two choices: confess or deny.

However, no matter what the accomplice chooses, the best choice for each prisoner is to confess: if the accomplice denies it, he will be released if he confesses, and if he denies it, he will be sentenced to one year. Confession is better than not confessing; It is better to confess than to deny ten years in prison. "