Zhao Yi has invested in a large number of industries in the northwest, such as Mu Us Ranch, Tengger Ranch, and the Badain Jaran Forest Area, Ulan Buh Forest Area and Kubuqi Forest Area that are still in the cultivation stage, although many still require continued investment. , but the scale of output cannot be underestimated.
Moreover, the Loeb Plateau environmental transformation plan prepared by Yaoguang Environmental Management Company is also located downstream of the water vapor outlet of Lop Nur. The increase in water volume in Lop Nur will also be of great benefit to the implementation of this plan.
Therefore, based on his own interests, he also supports the environmental transformation plan of the Northwest Region. However, the investment in this plan is too large. If there are no subsequent tangible benefits, he has no reason to continue investing.
You can't simply contribute to the country. Although as a Chinese, you should contribute, but you can't do it so mindlessly. The long-term solution must be to come and go.
"We have also talked before that if it is the western route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, the annual water diversion volume will only be about 17 billion cubic meters. There is still a huge gap between the 100 billion cubic meters we estimated.
If we insist on increasing the water delivery volume to meet the requirements, it will have a great impact on the ecological environment in the south, especially in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.
Therefore, based on the actual situation, if we want to completely transform the ecological environment of the northwest region, the western route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project is at most a supplement and cannot become the main source of water resources.
This road is not feasible, so I wonder if it is possible to divert water from the Bohai Sea to the Lop Nur water system? The surface distance between the two is approximately 2,300 kilometers.
I just thought about it carefully. If this east-to-west water diversion project is to be implemented and the annual water diversion volume is more than 100 billion cubic meters, it will require an initial investment of about 200 billion yuan in fixed construction investment.
And it will cost about 50 billion yuan every year to transfer water, and the minimum duration will be 40 years. In other words, the first phase will require a total investment of about 2.2 trillion yuan.
As the environment in the northwest region improves in the future, low altitudes already have a certain amount of water vapor and can converge with high-altitude water vapor, so the demand for water transport may be reduced.
By then, the annual water transfer fee may be reduced, but I think since we want to do a good job, of course we want to do the best, so our long-term goal should be to restore the 26,000 ordinary kilometers of water area in Lop Nur.
You are all experts in water conservancy. Do you think my idea is feasible? " Zhao Yi asked.
When the experts heard what Zhao Yi said, they were all stunned. In fact, what they just said was just an anecdote, because they all understand that no matter how our country transfers water, it will be difficult to achieve 100 billion cubic meters per year. amount of water transfer.
Because there are simply not that many water sources to adjust, after all, in the process of water transfer, we must also consider the ecological environment deterioration caused to the water source areas, otherwise it is better not to control it.
But what they didn't expect was that Zhao Yi would actually propose to transfer water from the Bohai Sea. Especially when they heard that the investment scale in the first phase would be as high as 2.2 trillion yuan, their hearts trembled.
You must know that our country's current annual GDP is only about 13 trillion yuan, and the northwest reconstruction plan alone accounts for 17% of GDP. This ratio is already very high.
When the leader heard this, he turned to look at him for a long time. Although he knew that he had great interests in the northwest region, there was no need to get involved so deeply.
To be honest, the government cannot come up with this investment in a short period of time, because the country is currently constructing large-scale high-speed rail projects and infrastructure projects, and the funds required are already very huge, and it cannot be spared to start the transformation of the Northwest, which is also large in scale. plan.
Originally, the most important thing in this seminar was to discuss the water shortage problem in the areas surrounding the capital. We had not yet thought about the environmental transformation of the Loop.
As a result, the topic got sidetracked while chatting. The water resources problem in North China already has a relatively clear solution, which can be solved through seawater desalination.
But what he didn't expect was that Zhao Yi would extend the desalination of seawater even further, and wanted to transport fresh water from the Bohai Sea to Lop Nur across a distance of more than 2,000 kilometers. This made anyone who heard this plan feel that the proposer was a lunatic. .
But seeing his serious look, it didn't feel like he was joking or just asking a question, but that he really had the idea to implement this crazy plan in his heart.
But if you really want to implement this plan, you really need Zhao Yi to realize it. Not to mention the financial problems on his hands, if the country insists on it, it can be done.
But Zhao Yi has a good thing that the government does not have. He transformed the former Mu Us Sandy Land into Mu Us Pasture and cultivated high-quality livestock, which brought huge economic benefits.
Although the Tengger Ranch, which is close to the Mu Us Ranch, is used for domestic people's consumption capacity, which prevents the price of dairy products from being sold at a high price, but even so, the annual output value created is as high as more than 200 billion yuan.
As for the transformation of several other deserts that have not yet been completely successful, it is currently impossible to estimate how much value it will create, but the annual output value will definitely not be too small, after all, the area is there.
Therefore, from the perspective of sustainable development, Zhao Yi's participation is the most appropriate, because if the government itself participates, it will be difficult to ensure a balance of payments. If it cannot do so, it will only have to settle political and people's livelihood accounts.
This is much different from the effect brought by Zhao Yi's participation. Although it seems that Zhao Yi will take advantage of it, the benefits it brings also belong to the country, and the problem cannot be viewed purely from the perspective of self-interest.
Obviously these experts didn't see it that way. The expert who was talking eloquently just now suddenly lost his confidence when he heard that Zhao Yi had thought about whether the specific implementation measures were feasible.
I saw him say: "All the descriptions just now are based on theory and are conclusions reached through some evidence support, but whether it is exactly what was said just now remains to be verified.
However, through modern means such as satellite cloud images, it can be basically confirmed that there are large reserves of high-altitude water vapor in these areas, and the facts should not be too different from the conclusion I reached earlier. "
You know, once this plan is implemented, astronomical amounts of money will be invested in it. If the expected results are not achieved, no one can bear the responsibility.
After hearing what the expert said, Zhao Yi said in a gentle tone: "This was originally demonstrated from a theoretical perspective. No one knows what the actual situation will be, so there is no need to be so nervous.
As long as it is based on factual data and our reasonable inferences, the calculated results are not completely consistent with the facts, but they should be similar.
After I return, I will set up a simulation system to simulate the evolution of climate change across the country, so that I can understand the situation more intuitively and obtain more accurate prediction results. "
In fact, when he heard that Xinjiang had such large high-altitude water vapor reserves, his first thought was not to use low-altitude water vapor to converge with high-altitude water vapor to guide high-altitude water vapor to form rainfall.
Instead, a more high-tech method is used to solve this problem. If you want to make high-altitude water vapor condense and rain fall, you only need to condense the high-altitude water vapor into larger water droplets.
The most common one is the dry ice rainfall that we often see. Dry ice is sprayed into the clouds to condense the water vapor in the clouds into larger water droplets, thus forming rainfall.
This method is feasible for rainfall in a small area, but for large areas like Xinjiang and the east of Lop Nur, this method is simply a drop in the bucket.
So his idea was to prepare an ultra-light substance. After this substance is released, it will naturally float to an altitude of more than 2,000 meters, mix with the water vapor above, and form larger water droplets that fall down.
Therefore, this kind of light material needs to have several characteristics. The first is that it must be a safe material that can be degraded in a short time when it lands on the ground and will not cause pollution to the land.
The second is that the weight must be light so that it can float to higher altitudes as much as possible. The air density at altitudes above 2,000 meters is only 1.007 kilograms per cubic meter, and the air density at 16,000 meters is only 0.16 kilograms per square meter. rice.
Not to mention that this material needs to float to an altitude of 16,000 meters, at least it must reach a level of about 8 kilometers, which means that the density of this material must be less than 0.5 kilograms per cubic meter.
The third is to be cheap enough. If the cost is too high, the daily release will not be as low as the cost of transferring water from the Bohai Sea.
The fourth is to be controllable. If these substances float into the air and do not combine with high-altitude water vapor and land, then we don’t know where they floated, which may cause climate changes in other places and cause unpredictable disasters.
Therefore, it is best to have the ability to self-timed decomposition, that is, if a certain time comes, this material will automatically decompose to form other basic elements or change the characteristics of the material, and does not have lightweight properties.
The fifth is the need to have a high degree of water molecule adsorption capacity. Since it is a large-scale net, the amount required is too large, and the volume of each particle is very small. Without strong adsorption capacity, it is likely that a large enough particle cannot be formed. water droplets.
Generally speaking, the technical content of substances with the above five characteristics will definitely not be low. Whether it is research and development costs or manufacturing costs, the cost is much higher than that of ordinary materials.
Since Zhao Yi didn't know if there could be a substance that met the above five conditions at the same time, and it was during the meeting, it was not easy to ask Zhou Ling, so he didn't think about it for the time being.
Of course, if there are substances that meet the above conditions, then this method can be adopted to deal with it, and the problem can be solved without even transferring water from the Bohai Sea.
To be honest, if there are materials that meet the conditions, then his ambition is not limited to restoring the water system of Lop Nur, because it is relatively simple.
According to what experts just said, 1.8 trillion tons of high-altitude water vapor passes through Xinjiang every year. As long as 1.5 trillion tons of it is retained, even the 330,000 square kilometers of Taklimakan Desert will form a 4.5-deep ocean.
Of course, in fact this is impossible, because the annual evaporation of water vapor in the Taklimakan Desert reaches 3 meters, and there is not much water left at all.
But even so, it will greatly promote the improvement of the ecology of the Tarim Basin. Even with the planting of some high-tech plants, the amount of evaporation may not be so large. It is not impossible to turn the Tarim Basin into usable land.
The water vapor that evaporates from the Tarim Basin is low-altitude water vapor, which has a huge role in promoting rainfall in Gansu and the east and south areas. It can be said to solve all problems in one fell swoop.
However, it is still unclear whether such a huge climate change will lead to changes in the entire climate of China. This requires computer simulations to obtain a preliminary conclusion.
There is nothing left to talk about at this meeting. There is already a relatively reliable solution to the water shortage problem in North China and other places, and only relevant project promotion meetings need to be held in the future.
As for the issue of climate improvement in the northwest region, although good ideas have been put forward, there is no certainty at such a meeting as to whether it is really feasible to do so in the future. More basic work needs to be done back home.
Therefore, the meeting that was originally planned to be held for three days was basically over in less than one day. If the invited experts were not in a hurry, they could continue to play here. If they were in a hurry, they could return to their original units.
As for Zhao Yi, he was invited to his room alone by the leader to have a deeper exchange of issues raised at the meeting in order to form a preliminary consensus.
When the leader saw Zhao Yi coming to his room, he immediately brought him a seat and served him tea himself. After the two parties sat down, the leader habitually took out a cigarette to smoke.
After lighting the fire, he discovered that Zhao Yi did not smoke, and quickly said: "Look at me, I didn't notice that you don't smoke."
After saying that, he was about to put out the cigarette. Zhao Yi quickly said: "It's okay. The cigarettes made from Shuangshencao are not harmful to second-hand smoke."
Hearing what Zhao Yi said, the leader smiled and said: "Speaking of this cool grass, it's really a good thing. I used to want to smoke when I was worried at home, but my wife and children at home didn't allow it, so I had to go outside to smoke.
It's fine now. Since it's not harmful and the smell isn't unpleasant, I can smoke openly at home. I heard that this thing is your invention? "
"It is indeed a little invention of mine that cannot be considered elegant." Zhao Yi said with a smile.
Then the two parties started to discuss some topics about Shuangshencao. One old and one young, one smokes and the other does not smoke, one is the inventor and the other is a consumer. They talked about the issue of Shuangshencao for half an hour.
Finally, the leader changed the topic and said: "I thought about it carefully, and if we want to maximize the benefits in the process of climate transformation in the northwest, you may really need your participation.
On the one hand, you naturally have enough strength to participate in such a major project, and on the other hand, your technical research and development strength will play a great role in the smooth advancement of this project.
What are your thoughts on this? "
“To be honest, I think the Northwest Climate Transformation Plan is a good plan, but if it is private investment, it is not a good deal.
Because the climate and environmental accounts of this plan are indeed very good, but the economic accounts are not necessarily so, at least compared to the huge investment. " Zhao Yi said.
"I don't like hearing what you are saying. When you originally contracted the Mu Us Desert, Tengger Desert, Badain Jaran Desert, and Ulan Buh Desert, you didn't say this," the leader said.
"Leader, although what you said is correct, specific matters need to be looked at in detail. Although these places are also desert sands, they still have certain groundwater reserves and some surface water reserves.
This means that it has the value of transformation. More importantly, these places were originally uninhabited. Although there are relatively high sand dunes, overall the terrain is relatively gentle, and there is not much interest involved. " Zhao Yi said.
After hearing what Zhao Yi said, the leader thought for a while and said: "The remaining area is indeed not as large as the previous deserts, but when combined, the area is quite large."
Hearing this, Zhao Yi shook his head and said with a smile: "A lot is a lot, but if you want to generate high economic value, it is not necessary. After all, agricultural production is a low-profit industry.
To complete this transformation plan, the total investment will be at least 2 trillion yuan. This is still the first stage, and it is not yet known whether the desired effect can be achieved.
If the effect is not achieved, in order to avoid the previous investment costs being sunk, additional investment may be continued for the second phase of construction, and the total investment will be further expanded.
Leader, please think about what you need to plant to achieve balanced economic returns. Even a medium DP probably won’t be able to achieve this.
Unless a more cost-effective way to solve the problem can be found, only the country can afford such a burden by diversion of water from the east to the west, and the country can obtain satisfactory benefits as a whole. "
The country can calculate the general ledger, and the economic account is only a small part of it. But for private investors, the economic account is the big one, and other accounts are not that important.
"Do you really not want to participate, or under what conditions will you agree to participate in investment?" the leader asked.
To be honest, although what Zhao Yi said just now was true, the leader relied on his own intuition and felt that he was actually concerned about this matter.
Although I couldn't guess why Zhao Yi, who used to be quite cheerful, suddenly became coy, so I simply asked him directly what conditions he had.
Before Zhao Yi could put forward his conditions, the leader suddenly seemed to have thought of something and suddenly asked: "As you mentioned before, we will solve the water shortage problem in North China and parts of Liaoning.
Although the use of seawater desalination technology is a feasible solution, the unit cost of seawater has still increased. If the cost is so high, the cost of transferring Bohai Seawater to Lop Nur will be much greater than the investment you previously expected.
So did you not tell the truth in the meeting just now? If desalination technology is used to solve the water shortage problem, what will be the door-to-door price per ton of water? "
Zhao Yi did not expect such a turn in the leader's thinking, which almost made him duck. However, there was indeed a serious conflict here. If you think about it carefully, it is still easy to find the problem.
“Desalination to households was only an estimate before, because the cost of pipeline construction was not yet known, so what is more certain is only the cost of desalination and the cost of household delivery, and the two together are between 0.2 yuan and 0.3 yuan.
The pipeline construction cost and electricity consumption cost have not been calculated yet, but the door-to-door price should be within 0.5 yuan. Although it is higher than the current tap water price, residents should be able to afford it. " Zhao Yi said.
When the leader heard Zhao Yi's explanation, he nodded with satisfaction. If the price is this, the construction is still very feasible. At least one of the two problems can be solved. This meeting can be regarded as a result. . (End of chapter)