Zhao Yi ignored what the people present thought. Anyway, the things that came out of his hand were not one or two. He had never explained to others, and there was no need to explain.
He continued: "The emergence of hydrogel has solved the problem of large-scale low-cost artificial rainfall operations. With this foundation, I believe everyone should have a certain degree of confidence.
As for whether climate change in the Tarim Basin will cause greater climate change, to be honest, I can't give an accurate answer now. After all, there is no precedent to refer to.
However, we can use computers to simulate meteorological evolution. I have already built the system. What is missing now is the specific data and related parameter settings.
Since there are leaders from the Meteorological Bureau present, I will open the interface to you after the meeting. If the data is confidential, I can also build a system within the Meteorological Bureau, and you can operate on it.
Since this system is an intelligent meteorological evolution system, all functions are very complete. You only need to input the meteorological data of previous years and meteorology-related parameters and laws into it to complete.
We can wait until the Meteorological Bureau completes the meteorological evolution and draw a preliminary conclusion. If the speed is fast, it will only take one week to evolve for 10,000 years.
Of course, there may be a lot of data that needs to be entered, so it may take a certain amount of time. If it is quick, half a month is basically the same. "
The leader of the Ministry of Water Resources didn't know whether the intelligent weather simulation and evolution system he was talking about had been built in the past few days or had been prepared for a long time. However, these are not the key, as long as it can solve the problem.
When the leader of the Meteorological Bureau heard that Zhao Yi had such a good intelligent weather simulation and evolution system, his eyes lit up, because this system can also be used for weather forecasting.
According to the current situation of our country's supercomputers and related software, weather forecasts within 7 days can be relatively accurate, but the accuracy of subsequent forecasts will drop significantly.
And what he just said can simulate meteorological changes that evolve over 10,000 years, which is much more powerful than the weather forecast system currently used by the Meteorological Bureau.
So the leader of the Meteorological Bureau asked directly: "Can your intelligent weather simulation and evolution system be used in weather forecasting? If so, can it be sold to our bureau?"
To be honest, just predicting rainfall is a bit overkill for an intelligent weather simulation evolution system. If combined with the functions related to the earth simulator, it can even make relatively accurate predictions for more weather changes in various places.
"Of course there is no problem with this, but not all computers can run this system well. If you want to get very accurate prediction results, the running hardware must be able to keep up.
If the Meteorological Bureau does not have suitable hardware products, I recommend purchasing the cloud computing service of Xinghan Technology Company. They can provide sufficient computing power support in a short period of time.
If the Meteorological Bureau needs this system, of course I would be willing to sell it. After all, the accuracy of weather forecasts plays a huge role in our country's agricultural development and residents' lives. " Zhao Yi said.
He knew that the Meteorological Bureau had a supercomputer, but it was several years ago and was a product of Polaris. It was very advanced at the time, but now it is relatively outdated.
In particular, if you want to run his intelligent weather simulation evolution system and make weather predictions for a longer period of time, you must have greater computing power support.
However, after the construction of the super photon computer underground in his laboratory is completed, the artificial intelligence in his hands will not need to rely on the current intelligent supercomputers.
At that time, Polaris will be able to sell intelligent supercomputers as commodities in China. As for foreign countries, there is currently no such plan. Although it is an outdated product in his eyes, it is still a very leading product in the outside world.
Especially for intelligent systems, intelligent supercomputers have an unparalleled increase in the performance of intelligent systems, and are hundreds of times better than supercomputers with traditional chip architectures.
This is why he can run rudimentary artificial intelligence very well and do many things on it by relying only on a few intelligent supercomputers.
Now that our country is in a leading position in artificial intelligence, he hopes that this lead can be maintained, and the embargo of some necessary equipment is inevitable.
Although this has certain obstacles to the development of science and technology in the world, people who have been through it in the past life have no special feelings about it. Anyway, each country is looking after its own affairs, and people's ideological consciousness has not yet reached that level.
Compared with those disgusting things done by Western countries, our country is as pure as a white sheep, so he has no psychological pressure at all. Although world unity is a dream, it is only a dream, at least in the foreseeable hundreds of years. So true.
Thinking of this, Zhao Yi couldn't help but advertise Polaris' smart supercomputer.
So he continued: "Polaris Company has developed an intelligent supercomputer, which is hundreds of times more powerful than traditional supercomputers for running intelligent systems.
Leaders present, if necessary, you can consider this intelligent supercomputer. "
Although his words are obviously advertising, as he said, running intelligent systems can improve performance by a hundred times compared to traditional supercomputers, so it is not impossible to consider.
Today's intelligent systems are not limited to Zhao Yi's companies. Many other qualified domestic companies have launched intelligent management systems.
Intelligent management systems are now standard equipment for modern enterprises. The enterprise intelligent management system of Fanxing Software Company is the world standard, and no competitor has emerged yet.
Except for a few special-purpose intelligent systems, the intelligent systems sold by Fanxing Software Company to other domestic companies are not much different from those used internally.
This plays a great role in improving the efficiency of enterprise management and reducing enterprise management costs. Moreover, the intelligent management system is not only for administrative management, but also includes all aspects of the industrial production process.
Especially since last year, labor costs have increased significantly. If companies want to continue to maintain their advantages, they must work hard on increasing efficiency. Intelligent management systems are an indispensable option for them.
In fact, in addition to the giant enterprises owned by him in China, there are also many state-owned enterprises that belong to the giant enterprise type, at least in terms of number of people.
For such enterprises, the enterprise management software of Fanxing Software Company is even more indispensable, and the launch of enterprise management software by state-owned enterprises will make it easier for the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and relevant government departments to control state-owned enterprises.
However, in the past two years, not only enterprises have launched intelligent management systems on a large scale, but also the proportion of government departments launching intelligent administrative management systems has increased.
Although the main work of Building Block Software Company is on the research and development of the smart city brain project, the peripheral systems developed around the smart city brain also have certain independent intelligence capabilities.
Therefore, these extended intelligent systems built for the smart city brain are becoming more and more popular in government departments with the advancement of government administrative reforms, and are even popularizing faster than enterprises.
If an enterprise wants to launch an intelligent management system, it needs to consider many factors. The first one is the enterprise's capital issue. It also needs to consider whether it is appropriate to launch an intelligent management system.
Although the intelligent management system has a certain amount of room for adjustment, it generally regulates the compliance operations of enterprises. For those enterprises that seek sideways, launching such a system will actually increase their risks.
Only those enterprises that really want to operate formally and legally will, if their financial resources permit, launch an enterprise intelligent management system without hesitation. This will only bring benefits to them and no disadvantages.
Compared with enterprises who have financial concerns, it is much more convenient and efficient for government departments to launch smart government systems. Many of them are pushed down from the central government or provincial government level.
This will not only standardize the management of the government administrative system, but also reduce the labor intensity of government staff, and allow higher-level departments to understand the operations of lower-level governments in real time.
Now that smartphones have begun to appear on a large scale in the lives of ordinary people, building block software companies are also actively integrating relevant government systems with smartphones.
It can not only make it easier for government personnel to deal with work problems in a timely manner, but also allow people to understand government work dynamics in a timely manner and reduce the difficulty of their work. At the same time, it can also play a supervisory role in government work to a certain extent.
If the smart city brain is put into operation later, these smart government systems can be easily combined with the smart city brain to form a more efficient city management network.
So it can be seen here that whether it is enterprises or governments, there is a certain demand for intelligent supercomputers. Even if intelligent supercomputers are not needed, there is still a large demand for intelligent servers.
In the future, if Xinghan Technology Company's cloud computing business develops greatly abroad, then Xinghan Technology Company can migrate domestic servers to overseas deployments, and replace all domestic servers with smart servers.
On the one hand, this is to make the best use of the resources and reduce operating costs as much as possible. After all, their servers have not been used for a few years, and it is impossible to eliminate them directly. No one can afford such cost consumption.
On the other hand, there are more and more intelligent systems running in the country, and the demand for intelligent servers is growing. This means that the comprehensive operating costs of launching intelligent servers in the country are lower.
Although foreign countries use Fanxing's enterprise management system, which has a certain degree of intelligence, compared with domestic systems, the degree of intelligence is lower. The difference between smart servers and traditional servers is not very obvious.
Secondly, enterprise management systems rarely use public cloud computing services, especially large enterprises. After all, this involves a lot of security considerations. At least in the short term, large-scale migration to cloud servers will not occur.
After the advertisement was played, the meeting returned to the main topic. The leader of the Ministry of Land and Resources said: "Now that the climate change issue in the northwest region has been clearly explained, it will take half a month to get the prediction results.
So skipping these questions, we now need to discuss how to develop the northwest. Should the government fund the development, or should it be developed in the same way as the Tengger Desert? "
This topic involves Zhao Yi's interests, so his ears pricked up, wanting to hear what the leaders and staff of various departments had to say about this.
"I think it is more appropriate to evaluate how much money is needed before discussing specific development. If the funding problem is not resolved, then subsequent discussions will not be of much significance." said the leader of the Ministry of Water Resources.
Seeing that everyone agreed with him, the leader of the Ministry of Water Resources turned to look at Zhao Yi and said: "After all, you are an expert in environmental governance, and the technology here is also related to you. Come and give it to everyone." Let’s settle the score.”
Now that his name was known, Zhao Yi took over the topic openly and said: "Since the leaders want me to settle the accounts, I will do the calculations for you carefully.
The first is how long it will take to reach the standards we want. The first standard is to form a grassland environment in the Tarim Basin, which is the lowest standard.
The second standard is to grow agricultural crops in the Tarim Basin, which requires relatively high water consumption and soil quality.
The third criterion is to be able to form a large-scale forest environment in the Tarim Basin. This requires higher water quantity, but the demand for soil quality is lower than that of crops.
If the standard is set as the first level, after the implementation of large-scale artificial rainfall, if the rainfall reaches our expectations, then this goal will basically be achieved in about five years.
This is because Fluclight Environmental Management Company has excellent varieties of pasture and loam grasses, which enables it to create a grassland environment in such a short period of time.
If it reaches the second level, it will take about 8 to 10 years, because crops have high requirements on soil quality and require continuous use of loam grass and other measures to transform the soil.
If you want to reach the third level, it will take more than 10 years. Of course, if you just plant a single tree species, such as Populus euphratica, it will not take that long.
But I think there is definitely not a limited number of tree species that can become a forest, and with so much money invested, in addition to planting trees, additional considerations need to be made about economic benefits.
Since it is impossible to carry out predatory forest resource extraction in the future, in addition to planting conventional trees, it is also necessary to plant some high-value trees. Therefore, overall requirements will increase and it will take longer.
Of course, this speculation is based on current technology. If there are more advanced biotechnologies or treatment methods in the future, the time may be accelerated.
Once the approximate time is clear, we can talk about various cost issues, and the conclusions drawn in this way will be relatively accurate.
The first cost is the cost of building a hydrogel production base and producing hydrogel particles. If calculated based on 1.5 billion tons of hydrogel per year, 5 billion yuan will be spent on fixed investment in factory construction alone.
Although the overall cost is not low, when it is apportioned to the annual production volume, the proportion of the cost is not high, and it is a relatively cheap cost category.
Then it costs about 15 billion yuan every year to manufacture hydrogel particles. Calculated according to the minimum standard, it will last for more than 5 years and requires a minimum investment of 80 billion yuan.
As we all know, even if the Tarim Basin turns into a prairie, it may not be able to form stable rainfall conditions here. We will continue to observe that the use of hydrogel particles will continue for a long time.
But at that time, it is estimated that the amount will not be as large as now, but the annual consumption of 10 billion yuan will last for at least 10 years, and the cost in this regard will reach 100 billion yuan.
According to the minimum standard, the total cost in this area is about 180 billion yuan. If it is based on the second level, then this cost rises to about 250 billion yuan.
If it is based on the third level standard, it is currently impossible to estimate, but it is certain that the total cost will not exceed 300 billion yuan.
Because forests can effectively reduce water vapor evaporation, reduce the use of hydrogels, and make it easier to create a low-altitude humid environment, which can form a certain degree of convergence with high-altitude water vapor to form natural rainfall.
The second item is the transformation of desert land, which includes desert terrain transformation. If you want to utilize the land to the maximum extent, you need to flatten some sand dunes, which requires a large amount of investment.
There are two main methods of terrain transformation: explosives and mechanical equipment. For large sand dunes, I personally recommend using high-energy bombs to solve them, and then using mechanical equipment to further level them.
For relatively gentle sand dunes, mechanical equipment can be used directly. The purpose of this is to facilitate subsequent operation and management and reduce operation and management costs.
I think the cost in this area is at least 500 billion yuan, mainly due to the large consumption of high-energy bombs and the need to purchase a lot of machinery and equipment. After all, the area is there.
This also includes dredging the river system in the Tarim Basin. In the past, due to very little precipitation, most of the water still relied on melting snow from the surrounding mountains. The rivers were relatively shallow, and even flowed out in some places.
If large-scale rainfall occurs, not only will the existing rivers need to be widened and deepened, but more rivers will also need to be dug based on the existing terrain to facilitate subsequent operations and development.
In addition to terrain transformation, it is similar to the way Yaoguang Environmental Management Company transformed the Tengger Desert and Badain Jaran Desert, and the costs in this area are relatively easy to calculate.
When Yaoguang Environmental Management Company treated the Tengger Desert, the transformation cost per square kilometer was about 1 million yuan. This was only the transformation of the soil structure and did not include subsequent transformation costs.
As the environment of the Taklimakan Desert becomes increasingly harsh, the cost of renovation may increase by one to three times. Calculated at 3 million yuan per square kilometer, the area is calculated based on the area of the Taklimakan Desert. The total cost is about 990 billion yuan, calculated at 1 trillion yuan. .
The third item can be counted as a cost, or it can not be counted as a cost, because it already involves the issue of operating profit, that is, planting grass, reclaiming wasteland and planting trees on it.
If you are simply growing pasture, the cost is relatively low, about 1 million yuan per square kilometer. If you are doing agricultural farming, the cost is difficult to estimate, and it depends on the standard level of the farmland.
To be honest, I do not recommend agricultural farming in these areas in the early stage. Even if farming is required, the proportion should be very low, preferably no more than 10%.
If it is a forest, the renovation cost per square kilometer will vary depending on the tree species, but it should be about five times the grassland standard, which means about 5 million yuan per square kilometer.
Since the calculation is too complex, we will calculate based on grassland standards. Investment in this area will cost approximately 330 billion yuan, and in the future, annual grassland maintenance costs may require 10 billion yuan.
To sum up, the cost of transforming the Taklimakan Desert alone has initially reached more than 1.8 trillion yuan. If the cost of hydrogel is added, the total cost reaches more than 2 trillion yuan. "
The costs he mentioned are based on current technical costs. In fact, this cost can be greatly reduced through many technical means. However, this involves his interests, so he will not elaborate on this occasion. explained.
This was not because he didn't know, but when he calculated it, he was shocked. After listening to his cost analysis, everyone at the scene felt their heads grow bigger. It was really too big. (End of chapter)