In Kirilenko's view, if Iran is sanctioned, crude oil production will definitely decrease and crude oil prices will rise. That is inevitable.
In fact, the price of crude oil is indeed rising. In two months, it has risen from more than 50 US dollars to 70 US dollars. How fast is this.
If you use ten times leverage, you can have twice the profit!
Two months, twice the profit, this kind of investment is simply a money grab, why not do it? I missed it before, but I can’t miss it now.
"Brother Ji, are you optimistic about crude oil? Your broker also recommends that you buy crude oil if it goes up?" Feng Yu asked with a frown.
"That's not the case. My broker still suggested that I invest in the American stock market, saying that the current bull market is going to be bullish and the stock market will definitely continue to rise. But how much profit can there be in stocks? Where can I make money from crude oil?"
"Think about it, how much money did we make when you led me to buy crude oil futures? The profits of crude oil are so high, the stock price rises too slowly."
Although Kirilenko is not short of money, he still wants to surpass Bill Gates in terms of assets. Although investing in stocks can also make money, the speed is too slow. Microsoft's stock price is also rising. Although it has risen relatively slowly during this period, the base is large.
If crude oil can make a profit, he plans to allocate funds from the gold market and the stock market to double his assets in one fell swoop. Then he will be at least as good as Buffett.
In a year or two, as their other investments make profits and other companies go public, it will no longer be a dream for him to surpass Bill Gates.
"Your broker is pretty good. If he suggested that you buy crude oil, then I should suggest that you change to a chief broker." Feng Yu breathed a sigh of relief, that broker was not too stupid.
Kirilenko was shocked: "Why? You don't like the rise in crude oil? Do you think this time will be the same as last time, with crude oil prices plummeting? Then we can just reverse short selling and make the same money!"
Feng Yu patted his forehead. Brother Ji thought the problem was too simple. In fact, Feng Yu was not sure about the crude oil market this time.
The main reason is politics!
"Brother, let me analyze it for you. Now everyone is united to impose sanctions on Iran. If Iran uses the method of reducing oil production to fight, then their country's income will drop sharply. And Iran is not the world's largest oil producer. A big country is no better than you, Russia, or China."
"What's more, there are other countries such as the United States and Saudi Arabia, which all produce large amounts of oil. Although the rise in crude oil seems to be in the interests of major oil-producing countries like us, we should support it. But you have to think about how much we consume. "
"The automobile industry is developing faster and faster, and the petrochemical industry is also developing faster and faster, so the consumption of crude oil will naturally increase. For example, the United States and China are both oil importing countries. When crude oil prices rise, we are A loss."
"All European countries, except you, Russia, are at a loss. I admit that Russia is very powerful, but can it be one country against all? Didn't you, Russia, also agree to this investigation?"
"Although the price of crude oil has risen a bit in the past two months, it will soon be suppressed. However, when and to what extent it will be suppressed, it involves upper-level politics, so it is difficult to accurately grasp."
"And even if the crackdown continues, it won't be too severe. The price of crude oil should still hover around US$50 to US$60, so the profit margin is really not big."
It is in the interests of all major countries that crude oil prices remain stable. No matter if they rise too much or fall too much, they will not allow it.
If these big countries join forces, those oil-producing countries will definitely cooperate. If there is only one Iran left, what can they do
Besides, if Iran dares to really reduce oil production, other countries will dare to block Iran's sales channels. Nearby Iraq is under the control of the United States, and Iran will fall into an economic crisis.
When will Iran promise to stop conducting nuclear research, and when will peace be truly restored
Countries with nuclear weapons now don’t want more people to join them. Even these big countries don't even build nuclear power plants in countries that have no nuclear foundation, for fear of what the other party will research.
This is a very simple technology blocking mentality, just like some companies have developed advanced technologies but do not want other companies to develop them, so that they can gain the greatest benefits.
Let’s just say that China’s military strength was so weak back then. How did it become a permanent member of the Security Council? Isn’t it because China has nuclear weapons that can pose a major threat to other countries
At that time, China was very tough. Some of its veteran generals who had experienced the war were still there, and they were united with the outside world. Although it has been subject to certain economic sanctions, China is slowly rising.
Now China has become one of the world's top powers, leading the world in many aspects, but once many data are calculated on a per capita basis, it's over.
However, for matters that affect the world structure, the United States and others have to ask for China's support.
"Feng, the price of crude oil really won't fluctuate much?" Kirilenko was a little reluctant. He couldn't make a lot of money from this. When would he surpass Bill Gates
"Brother Ji, if there is really a clear market situation, will I not invest? My funds are still in gold and the stock market." Feng Yu said with a smile.
"But gold rose to US$450 at the end of last year, and now it has dropped back to US$420. We haven't made much profit at all in the past few months." Kirilenko's tone was like a resentful woman. .
"Brother Ji, I'm just telling you that gold is bullish in the long term. In the short term, your broker should adjust your position for you at any time, right? What you say means that even if gold falls, you will still make a profit, right?"
"And if you think about it, many people started to have the same idea as you this time, planning to withdraw funds from the stock market and invest them in the futures market. But they found that crude oil futures had no fluctuations. When there was no large inflow or outflow of funds, they also If you dare not come in, what do you think you will do with the money?" Feng Yu reminded.
"What should I do? Take it back and reinvest in stocks, or invest in other futures. Wait, are you saying that our gold is going to rise sharply again? Or are you saying that the stock market is going to rise sharply?" Kirilenko reacted.
"I think this will all rise. But whether it will rise sharply, I am not sure. Therefore, my funds are still placed in the gold futures market and the US stock market. Within three years, the price of gold is likely to double!"
Likely to double? Kirilenko was familiar with Feng Yu's way of expression. Since he said it was very likely to double, the probability was definitely over 80%!
Unmentioned, the money will continue to be invested in gold and stocks. As for oil, whoever likes it can invest!
…
ps: Ten updates today (to be continued.)