Liu Yihua's car finally arrived at the destination after passing through layers of heavily guarded checkpoints.
After getting out of the car, Liu Yihua said nervously: "Grandpa, just tell the old chief that I am a doctor, and come to see him."
Old Ren was stunned and said, "Nonsense, are you a doctor?"
Liu Yihua smiled and said, "Grandpa, I know how to practice qigong. It's really good for the old chief's health. Besides, I don't want people to know that I'm your grandson so soon. It's not good for me." Liu Yihua thought about it for a while. Still have concerns.
Elder Ren smiled wryly: "Okay, I'll just cover my ears and steal the bell. In fact, the old chief must know who you are."
Liu Yihua laughed and said, "Hehe, it's also good to cover your ears and steal your bell."
Old Ren hummed: "You are deceiving yourself! Let's go."
Liu Yihua looked at the heavily guarded door, and followed his grandfather carefully into it.
As soon as he entered the door, the old chief's secretary warmly received Mr. Ren, and then took him into the study to pay a visit to the old chief. Liu Yihua didn't have such a big face, so he stayed in the hall. Without the old chief's consent, Liu Yihua had no chance to meet the old chief.
Liu Yihua sat outside and waited nervously for a while. At this time, the old chief and Ren Lao came out while talking.
When Liu Yihua saw the old chief who had only been seen on TV before, he stood up excitedly and gave a military salute: "Hello, chief!"
The old chief looked at Liu Yihua and said, "Oh, little doctor? Or a military doctor? Xiao Ren, your grandson still wants to hide his identity."
Old Ren laughed and said, "He may have thought that he was talking nonsense before, but now he is afraid."
The old chief said: "Young man, you just have to speak up. Sit down and don't be nervous."
Liu Yihua smirked and said cautiously.
The old chief looked carefully at Liu Yihua, and suddenly smiled and said, "It's not easy! Xiaohua, I heard that you convinced the two old comrades, Mr. Li and Mr. Cai?"
Liu Yihua said embarrassingly: "Chief, there is no such thing. They are very principled. How can I persuade them for a while?" Liu Yihua now feels his lips are dry, and he is a little flustered and short of breath. Hey, who can be calm in the face of our country's supreme leader? Even Liu Yihua's grandfather, Mr. Ren, behaved the same way.
The old chief waved his hand and said: "Don't be cautious! By the way, I heard that you are alarmist? Talking about land issues, RMB exchange rate, inflation, industrial chain structure... may affect the fundamentals of the country? Your grandfather has already discussed with me about the theory of land. Having said that, can you talk about a few other questions next? Hehe, the thoughts of young people may give us some ideas!" The hand of the old chief seemed very approachable, which made Liu Yihua relax unknowingly.
"Chief, how do I know anything about finance? I'm just talking nonsense..." How dare Liu Yihua speak nonsense in front of the old chief? He now regrets talking nonsense in front of Mr. Li and Mr. Cai! My grandfather is the same, why are you talking about this with the old chief? But Liu Yihua was relieved later on, the words he said would spread out sooner or later, and his grandfather would be passive if he didn't seek truth from facts.
The old chief looked at Mr. Ren and said to Liu Yihua: "Still keeping it secret? I know that under your guidance last year, several companies from Hong Kong and Singapore entered the U.S. stock market in a big way...Xiaohua, you did a good job! The country depends on it. In the eyes."
"Ah?" Liu Yihua was stunned for a moment. I thought it was a top secret to direct Zhou Huijie and Li Shanshan to enter the US stock market, but I didn't expect the old chief to know? It's no wonder that in this world, as long as the old chief wants to know, it is really difficult to keep things secret.
Old Ren's eyes lit up and said: "Really? It turns out that the United States and Japan suffered heavy losses, and the protection of the Hong Kong stock market is related to Xiao...Xiaohua? Chief, are you right?" Old Ren actually knew a little bit, but he really didn't Know too many details.
The old chief nodded and said: "Yes. Xiao Ren, you don't know how beautiful this battle is! Xiaohua really understands the stock market and finance, so I want to hear some of his opinions." Surrounded by the old chief How many think tanks are there? Among them, several think tanks in charge of finance were shocked when they learned of Liu Yihua's action in attacking the US and Japanese stock markets and protecting the Hong Kong stock market! In their eyes, Liu Yihua is simply an epoch-making genius! Otherwise, how could the old chief have the leisure to waste time with Liu Yihua, a brat
Elder Ren said happily: "Xiaohua, since you have real talents and learning, just talk about it. It's good to just express your own opinion." Elder Ren knew that the old chief must have been investigated, otherwise, it would not cause a topic to speak to Liu Yihua Chance.
Knowing that he could no longer evade, Liu Yihua gritted his teeth and said, "Okay, then I'll fight in front of the chief, and I'll talk about the RMB exchange rate."
After a pause, Liu Yihua cleared his mind and said: "As we all know, the United States is the most developed country in the world, and the US dollar is the common currency in the world, so the exchange rate of RMB to US dollar is very important!
At present, the exchange rate of RMB to US dollar is that one US dollar is equal to 23 RMB. Many ordinary people in China think that it is best that one US dollar equals one RMB! Because the more valuable the renminbi, our country should be richer and stronger! Of course, anyone familiar with the economy knows that this idea is wrong! "
Liu Yihua looked at the old chief at this point, and then continued: "After the appreciation of the renminbi, we will have a great advantage in terms of imports. However, there is a question-does our country need a large amount of imports? Even if we need to import, we will Does your country have a lot of capital imports? Therefore, the appreciation of the renminbi will not do any good to our country's economy at all!
On the other hand, after the depreciation of the renminbi, it will be beneficial to exports! Conducive to the development of our country's economy! Because our country depends on a large number of exports to develop its economy! instead of importing! From this point of view, within a few years we should try our best to achieve a dollar equal to 35 yuan! In the future, according to the situation... it can reach about 8 RMB! In that way, the products produced by a large number of enterprises in our country can be exported in large quantities! The country's economy will really develop!
However, the RMB exchange rate must be maintained in a stable state! If the renminbi depreciates without limit... then our country will have many more export companies! But in this case, if for some reason the yuan was suddenly forced to appreciate... what would happen? How can there be a large number of enterprises that rely on exports to close down! The workers of these enterprises will be laid off! And a large number of unemployed will definitely affect the prosperity and stability of the country! If this is not handled well, it will affect the country's... development! "
Liu Yihua originally wanted to say that it affected the "fundamental" of the country, but he stopped in time. How can you say that in front of the old chief? Even so, Liu Yihua didn't know what the old chief would think.
The old chief also said solemnly: "That's right. Xiaohua has his own unique insights. I have also heard the opinions of many experts on the issue of the RMB exchange rate. Our future goal is to keep our country's people's exchange rate from being affected by the US dollar. , then we will become stronger! Let the renminbi become the same world currency as the U.S. dollar! Of course, this task has a long way to go!"
Mr. Ren rubbed his head and said: "Good guy, Xiaohua is really smart. I have always believed that the more valuable the renminbi is, the faster our country's economic development will be! It seems that my idea is completely wrong! Let It is our dream for the RMB to become a common currency in the world, and it would be great if it can be realized!" Mr. Ren did not mean to praise Liu Yihua deliberately at this time. He was really surprised by Liu Yihua's opinion. Mr. Ren couldn't see through Liu Yihua in front of him. Is this a rural child who grew up in the countryside? What material is his brain made of
The chief thought about it for a while and smiled: "Xiaohua, you are right. We should really pay more attention to the issue of RMB exchange rate in the future! Go ahead and talk about inflation! In our thinking, inflation seems to be a product of capitalism... I It is still very strange how the inflation of socialism can affect the fundamentals of the country!"
Liu Yihua became bolder after getting the approval of the old chief, and immediately said: "Just now the chief has said that inflation is a product of capitalism in people's thinking before!
But in the future, with the development of the market economy in our country, there will inevitably be inflation! If the control is good, of course there is no problem! If the control is not good, the problem will be very big!
I talked about the real estate bubble with Grandpa Li and Grandpa Cai before, but in fact this is serious inflation! how to say? The income of our people has not changed, but the price of real estate has skyrocketed. A house that could have been bought for 3,000 yuan now costs 9,000 yuan! Isn't this serious inflation
Besides, real estate bubbles and real estate inflation will drive bubbles and inflation in all walks of life! When the price of real estate is high, the prices of all walks of life related to real estate will naturally be high! Under such contagion, all prices in the country will have certain bubbles! That is to say, there will be some inflation!
If in the end, the price of real estate is getting higher and higher... it means that inflation is getting worse! In the end, houses in our country may be more expensive than developed countries such as the United States and Japan! In that way, the consumption level of our country may exceed that of many western developed countries in the future!
But the per capita income of our country will not have a significant increase! This will have catastrophic consequences! To say that inflation is still light! The most serious is the financial crisis! A financial crisis may bring a country's economy back to decades ago! And after decades, there is no way to turn over!
Therefore, we must have a clear understanding of this issue, and don't think that only capitalism can have inflation! "
Liu Yihua is now completely let go! Today we must speak out some hidden dangers in the future! We cannot allow our country's economy to repeat the same mistakes and fall into various crises and helplessness again!
Of course, Liu Yihua's tone and words seem to be seriously alarmist! But Liu Yihua knows that in the 21st century, everything in our country will increase in price! Only the income of the people is standing still! Even if there is a slight increase, it cannot keep up with the speed of rising prices! Authoritative departments have done statistics, 10 yuan in 1987 is equal to 1,000 yuan in 2007! Before the reform and opening up, 20 yuan could feed a family! It can let several children in the family have books to read! After the reform and opening up, especially after entering the 21st century... 3,000 yuan per month for a family may not be enough! As for the children going to college, it's even harder to say! A lot of money for kids going to college is patchwork!
In the 21st century, the average hourly wage of each worker in our country is 0.8 US dollars! People in the United States and Germany are 4080 US dollars! Even workers in Thailand earn $4 an hour!
But at this stage, the overall economic development of the country is advancing by leaps and bounds! The country's gdp is growing steadily! The world exclaimed! But our country's gdp calculation method is different from that of western developed countries!
Western developed countries count 70% of consumption into gdp! But in our country, consumption only accounts for 35%! In our country's gdp, real estate and large-scale construction... account for a large proportion! In this way, the more serious the real estate bubble economy is, the faster our country's gdp will rise! Inflation in our country is getting worse! Later, real estate prices reached a very serious verge of collapse! This is also the time when prices are rising the fastest! When inflation is at its worst! So in the future history, pork is expensive, cooking oil is expensive, vegetables are expensive, mung beans are expensive, garlic is expensive... anyway, everything is expensive!
In the end, real estate prices were so high that they caused an economic crisis! That's why the "government" hastily came out to suppress it! But it's too late! The common people in our country will be very helpless to tighten their belts to live! Because you have no other choice! Your income will not grow! Want more than 10x reduction in real estate and prices... is this possible
Hearing Liu Yihua's words, the old chief's face was solemn, and he sighed and said, "It's okay! If you can't, you can't! It seems that we can't develop the economy recklessly in the future! If we are reckless and don't understand economics... then there will be big problems Yes!" After the old chief finished speaking, he picked up a special cigarette with an extended filter tip, and Liu Yihua quickly lit the cigarette with a match.
The house is very quiet now, it seems that there is only the sizzle sound when the cigarette is burning.
"Xiaohua, you really have a lot of new things in your brain? How can you predict the future so accurately?" The old chief suddenly asked after smoking a cigarette.
"This... I..." Liu Yihua panicked for a while, not knowing how to explain it.
The old chief smiled and said: "Don't be nervous. Since you have an opinion, you should give some suggestions. Let's talk about the structure of the industrial chain."
Liu Yihua wiped off his sweat and said: "Sir, let me give a brief explanation of this industrial structure chain! A product has to go through a chain from R&D and design to final sale to consumers! Basically, it can It is divided into 7 major links! Including: product design, raw material procurement, processing and manufacturing, logistics and transportation, order processing, wholesale operation, and terminal retail.
In the future, our country will develop its economy, and there will be a large amount of exports... mainly relying on the processing and manufacturing of products! In this way, we only accounted for 1 link among the 7 major links! And it is the link that wastes the most resources, damages the environment the most, and squeezes the labor force the most! And we have no way to control the other 6 links! "
At this time, Liu Yihua's grandfather asked: "Xiaohua, one of the links we control is manufacturing. It should be the most beneficial, right? How can we say that the industrial chain will threaten the foundation of the country in the future?"
Liu Yihua explained: "I still use an analogy! For example: an American customer asks us to process a rag doll! During our manufacturing process, we have destroyed the environment, wasted resources, and exploited labor... American talents give us 0.5 dollars! And we Removal costs only 5 cents on the dollar!
But what is the real result? We made dolls worth 0.5 dollars, and the final retail price in the United States was 5.5 dollars! The difference is 10 times! The price difference is $5! Think about it carefully, everyone, in the process of appreciation from 0.5 US dollars to 5.5 US dollars... 5.5 minus 0.5, where does the value of these 5 US dollars come from
That $5 won't get us a penny! It was all earned by the Americans!
If we don't solve this industrial chain problem and don't participate in the other six links...then our country's export processing enterprises will have a vicious circle! Because you can't design it yourself, you don't have famous brand trademarks, and you can't sell it abroad... because foreign sales channels have been monopolized by others! Therefore, our company is forced to face only the link of production and manufacturing! Moreover, the client capitalists in our country will further reduce prices! Let us gradually reduce the profits of these export processing enterprises! At this time, if there is another appreciation of the RMB exchange rate...it will be catastrophic! These export processing enterprises will be unprofitable! Going out of business soon! Therefore, in the future, export enterprises in our country must pay attention to the industrial chain! We dare not say that all 7 major links have been grasped! However, product design, raw material procurement or production, processing and manufacturing, logistics and transportation... these major items should be able to be controlled! As for order processing... We have the strength, so we can negotiate with foreign businessmen naturally!
If the negotiation results are not good, it does not matter! We can do a good job in the wholesale business link! We can create our own brand or give some customers OEM brand! In this way, we face more customers and will not be monopolized by one customer!
If it doesn't work, we can also engage in terminal retail! We can set up sales points all over the world to sell our own brand products! Let’s take that rag doll as an example. If we can set up a sales outlet in the United States, I dare not say that we can sell it for $5.50! Just sell it for $1.50, right? Comparing $1.5 to $0.5...it's self-evident!
Therefore, it is the general trend of our country to reform and open up and vigorously develop the export processing industry! Because our country has abundant resources and a lot of cheap labor... so the products made in our country will be popular all over the world! However, if we do not grasp the industrial chain well, even if the whole world uses the products made in our country... then the enterprises in our country will not get much profit! It is impossible for the capitalists to make our processing enterprises get huge profits! Because the essence of capitalists is exploitation! This essence has not changed in more than 100 years!
Some people may think that even if we earn a little bit, it's good! At least we have solved the employment problem of a large number of workers! But there is a potentially very dangerous problem! Still take that rag doll and say, our country sells it to the United States for 0.5 dollars! The United States packs it and sells it to developed countries all over the world for $36! That would mean that our country helped the United States earn $36! Under such circumstances, how can we say that we want to attack US imperialism? This is simply a fool's dream! When this happens, our country becomes poorer and poorer! "