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"Mr. Jing?" Feng Bujue immediately understood the meaning of the title, "Oh... it's Hualian ("Jing" is usually called Hualian in Peking opera, Zhengjing, Fujing, and Wujing correspond to Dahualian, Erhualian, Wuhualian/ Wu Erhua) okay?"
"Don't be poor with me." Mr. Jing was still a little surprised that Brother Jue GET got what he called him, but he didn't intend to continue to argue with the other party on this issue, "What do you call it? Crow's Mouth?"
"Yes." Feng Bujue smiled openly, "Just call me 'Crow's Mouth'."
"Hmph..." Mr. Jing snorted coldly, "Then, I'll start writing questions, Crow's Mouth."
As he spoke, he picked up the paper and pen in front of him.
"Please go ahead." Feng Bujue held a glass of drink, and supported the table with one elbow (the height of the cart is about 1.25 meters, and adults whose height is within the average range can use their elbows to support the table as long as they lean forward Go to rest), replied very easily.
...
According to the rules, the number guessing game showdown is divided into two rounds. In the first round, the party who proposes the challenge calls and guesses the solution, while the party who accepts the challenge is responsible for setting the question.
In each hand, there are "two parts" that need to be called:
The first part - the guessing party "declares" and guesses the correct answer within "a few rounds", and then the questioning party makes a bet according to the number of rounds given by the opponent, and the minimum bet should not be lower than this duel At the beginning, it holds 1% of the total amount of gold; after this call, the bet is fixed, and the guessing party cannot raise further, and must follow up.
For example... For example, the guessing party declares that he can guess the answer "within five rounds". Obviously, the probability of this kind of thing is almost equal to zero; at this time, the party who made the question will definitely call the maximum bet amount that he can call directly, and the challenger must also follow up (if the money is not as much as the other party, refer to what the organizer said Rule 2, bet everything and continue the duel).
Then, when the duel was "completely over". According to the final number of rounds, the two parties then settle the fee.
Of course, this scenario is unlikely to happen...
Because of the "this part" of the bet, that is, the "round betting" part. Generally speaking, it is to send money to the guessing party.
As long as the guessing party says an exaggerated number of "one hundred rounds" or even "one thousand rounds" when declaring, it is basically a sure win. So this part of the betting will be called by the question maker... When faced with that kind of number, the question maker will definitely only call the lowest bet he can call.
In other words, after the outcome of this round. As long as the guessing party doesn't lose all their money during the duel and lose their qualifications, then at the time of settlement, they can basically safely get back a small sum of money from the questioning party.
This setting is mainly set in consideration of the obvious disadvantage of the guessing party in the duel.
Next, look at the bidding notes of the "second part":
This part is repeated during the duel... That is, in each round, the guessing party must make a bet once, and the same... The amount of each bet cannot be less than 1% of the upper limit of its holding gold; The question maker has two options: first. Call; second, surrender.
Calling means to continue the game; and "surrender" means that the question maker admits defeat, and after paying the corresponding fine, the game will be declared over.
If the rule of "gambling the round" is to protect the guesser, then the rule of "surrender" is naturally to protect the questioner.
Let me give you an example... If there is no "surrender" option, then all guessers can use a very simple tactic to ensure their winnings, that is-starting from the first round, each round only bet the minimum amount note. Then bet all the rest of your money on the round when you are sure you can guess correctly.
According to this tactic, as long as the answer can be guessed within fifty rounds, the guesser will be invincible; this is not counting the amount of "gambling rounds" before the start of each round.
therefore. There is the setting of "surrender".
Of course, there is also a limit to "surrender", otherwise the question maker can also use this to achieve a steady win... For example, if you suddenly surrender when the game has gone on for more than ten to twenty rounds, you can just accept it when you see it. .
To prevent this from happening, there is a "surrender penalty".
In this guess the number showdown. There are two formulas for calculating the surrender penalty—
The first type is applicable to the situation of surrender within the first twenty rounds. The formula is: 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel in this round*(50+the number of completed rounds)%+the opponent’s betting amount of this round 10% + base penalty.
The second is the formula used from the twenty-first round: 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel in this round*(50-the number of completed rounds)%+10% of the opponent’s bet amount in this round+ base penalty.
The so-called "basic penalty" is divided according to the number of current rounds. The basic penalty for surrendering within 1-10 rounds is 5% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel, and the basic penalty for surrendering within 11-20 rounds is 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel in this round will increase to 20% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel in this round. From the 31st round onwards, the basic penalty will directly return to zero.
Let’s give another example... In a certain game, both sides held 100,000 US dollars at the beginning, and the guessing party bet 1% in each round, and lost a total of 30,000 US dollars after 30 rounds; In one round, he was sure of winning, and at this time, he bet all the remaining 70,000 US dollars.
Seeing this, the questioner chooses to surrender... At this time, the penalty that the questioner needs to pay is 10% of the US$100,000 multiplied by 20 (50-30)%, which is US$2,000...plus the opponent's betting this round 10% of the amount, that is, 7,000 U.S. dollars... plus the basic penalty of zero, a total of 9,000 U.S. dollars was handed over.
Although it was said that nine thousand was spit out at one time, it was much better than seventy thousand.
In short, when the question maker chooses to surrender, the duel in this game will be declared over. From the above example, the result is - the question maker won $21,000 from the guesser.
After completing this part of the settlement, the two parties proceed to the settlement of the "Number of Gambling Rounds". Assuming that the guessing party declared "within one hundred rounds" before, and the question maker bid the lowest $1,000, then... At this time, the question maker will hand over another $1,000 to the guessing party, with a final win of 20,000.
The above is the general scenario where the question maker chooses the timing of surrender through the behavior of "the guessing party raises the bet" under "general circumstances".
So... under the same conditions. What if the questioner chooses the tactic of "just accept it as soon as it is good"
I won’t list the detailed calculation process here, let’s just look at the results... Let’s deduce based on the condition that both parties have $100,000 and the guesser bets 1,000 each time—
If the questioner surrenders in the first round (note that the extra percentage of the first round is 50+0. Not 50+1), he will lose 10100, and the second round will be 10200, which will increase every time thereafter $100 until the tenth round.
That is. If the questioner surrenders in any of the first ten rounds, he will lose money.
At the beginning of the eleventh round, due to the increase in the basic fine, the fine for surrendering in this round has jumped to 16100, and will be increased by 100 for each round thereafter; If you surrender in this round, the fine will be 16,800, while the amount earned in the previous seventeen rounds is 17,000. In this way, I earned 200, but... don't forget that there is still money for "gambling rounds". If you include that, you still lose... so you have to wait for another round, until the nineteenth round, you earn 18,000, the fine is 16,900 + the betting round is 1,000, at this time, you can barely earn 100...
Therefore, in the first twenty rounds, you want to "win for sure". There are only two chances, and that is to surrender in the nineteenth round and the twentieth round. According to the formula, the former can earn 100. The latter can earn 1000…
But... it's rare for you to be a question maker once, and you'll be done after earning a thousand? Don't forget that this game is "head to head", it doesn't mean that you will get out without losing money.
So, let's look at the situation at the beginning of the twenty-first round...
At the beginning of this round, the formula has changed, but the base penalty has also increased again. The penalty for surrendering in the twenty-first round is 23100. After that, it will be reduced by 100 every round; obviously... From this round onwards, the surrender mechanism tends to protect the questioner. Because after twenty rounds, the probability of the guesser guessing the answer is getting higher and higher.
In this way, if you count the 1000 of the gambling round, the "twenty-fifth round" will be a watershed; the fine for this round is 22700, plus the 1000 of the gambling round, it is 23700, but the money that the questioner won... It's 24000; of course, it's just 300, so that's not the point...
The point is, starting from this round, the winning amount of the question maker's sudden surrender will increase by $1,100 every round.
In this way, after six rounds, at the thirty-first round, the "basic fine" was reset to zero, and the questioner suddenly had an extra 20,000 yuan. In this round, if the guessing party does not raise the bet, the fine for the questioner after surrendering directly is only 2,100 US dollars, and the money he has won at this moment is already 30,000 US dollars. Even if the money for the betting round is removed, the net profit is 26,900 US dollars …
To sum up, the key confrontation in this number guessing game is between the twenty-fifth and thirty rounds... If the guesser cannot guess the correct answer before the thirty-round, then the question maker only needs to Surrendering immediately can securely earn 29% of your chips. Even if you happen to guess it on the 31st round, it only recovers about 10% of the loss.
Of course, although I have said a lot, it is only a theory.
In an actual duel, various situations may arise...
Maybe someone can guess the answer within twenty-five rounds; maybe someone can raise the chips to apply pressure without guessing; When it was time to pass, he forced a raise, but the opponent saw through and followed up...
On the gambling table, fraud, calculation, performance, detection... anything can happen.
In the world of gambling, probability cannot learn to respect you, and the god of luck does not exist.
Praying for luck 10,000 times is not as good as honing skills accomplished 10,000 times.
The weak will be beaten, devoured, and crushed...with no sympathy.
To win and to live... is the only justice in this world.
...
A minute later, Mr. Jing had written six numbers on the paper in front of him.
Then, he folded the piece of paper, carefully protected it with the palm of his hand, and handed it to the man in the suit and sunglasses beside the cart.
The latter also took the paper very cautiously, turned around, blocked Feng Bujue's sight with his thick back, and then unfolded the paper, looking at the numbers on the paper.
Two seconds later, the man in the suit and sunglasses refolded the paper and put it in his jacket pocket.
He turned around, stood upright facing the table again, and then said to Mr. Jing: "Once the number is determined, it cannot be changed, so I need to confirm with you, the six numbers just now... are you okay?"
"Yes." Mr. Jing replied firmly, "I'm sure."
"Yeah." The man in the suit and sunglasses nodded, "You have read the rules, but I still want to emphasize a few points..." He paused for half a second, then continued, "First of all, if you are caught cheating, you will be punished immediately. , and all the money belongs to the other party.” As he spoke, he reached out and gestured to a small device on the table, “Secondly, the timer on the table is similar to that used in chess games, recording the time spent by both sides. ;The total time for the guesser is forty-five minutes. If the answer is still not guessed within this time, then it is considered a guess regardless of the current round, the amount of the two parties, and the amount of the "gambling round"... The solver is 'completely defeated', and the holding gold of the complete loser also belongs to the other party." He paused, and then said, "In addition, the guesser's call time, the questioner's call time, and the questioner's time The time for the guesser to give feedback to the guesser's answer is calculated separately—calling and calling must be completed within one minute, and the feedback time is only 30 seconds; those who violate the rules, the first time, will be fined Go to the 1% holding limit at the beginning, 2% for the second time, and so on... "
The few rules emphasized by the man in the suit are indeed very important. Needless to say, the punishment for cheating... As for the situation of "maliciously delaying time", the organizer has naturally taken into account when designing the game. Under the high price, the ugly and unskilled means of "delaying time" are basically unlikely to appear.
Only in this way can the rhythm of the game be kept tight and create considerable pressure...
And the various performances of the "guests" under pressure are exactly what the organizer wants to see.
"Ah~ah~ I see, can we start?" Feng Bujue seemed a little impatient after hearing what the man in the suit said.
The man in the suit didn't answer him, but looked at both sides of the duel expressionlessly, and raised his hand to the timer.
After confirming the reactions of Brother Jue and Mr. Jing respectively, the man in the suit said: "Since neither party has any objections, then...the duel begins!"(.)
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